- duncanwmurphy
Week 10 Fantasy Football Waiver Wire FAAB Bids
Updated: Nov 11, 2020
Top 10 Adds
Allen Lazard ($10-$15)
Curtis Samuel ($8-$10)
J.D. McKissic ($5-$10 or $10-$15 in PPR)
Jakobi Meyers ($8-$10)
Austin Hooper ($7-$10)
Tua Tagovailoa ($5-$10)
Drew Lock ($5-$10)
Darnell Mooney ($5-$7)
Wayne Gallman ($5-$7)
Duke Johnson ($5-$7)
Notes:
All adds are under 50% owned in Yahoo leagues
FAAB recommendations are based on $100 budget and 1/2 Point PPR Leagues
Strength of Schedule numbers are based on FFToday.com data (past 5 weeks)
Schedule percentages show the difference between the Opponent's Points Allowed to each position and the NFL average. A positive difference indicates a plus matchup. Negative difference is a bad matchup.
Handcuff your backs! It’s cuffing season! Failing to do so at this point could cost you your remaining FAAB budget or your season. Lock em’ up!
Bids are notably lower at this point as most teams have less than $50 remaining
Quarterback
Tua Tagovailoa ($5-$10)
Drew Lock ($5-$10)
Teddy Bridgewater ($3-$4)
Derek Carr ($2-$3)
Daniel Jones ($1-$2)
Nick Foles ($1-$2)
Tua Tagovailoa (24% owned)
20/28 71% completion rate
248 yards 2TD
8/35 on the ground
122.3 QBR
23.42 fantasy points
LAC 26.5%, @DEN 6.4%, @NYJ 21.7%
FAAB $5-$10
Drew Lock (20% owned)
Through 3 quarters things were looking bleak
He finished with two passing scores and a rushing TD in the game's final 15 minutes
QB4 in week 10
@LV 18.9%, MIA -6.1%, NO -8.8%
FAAB $5-$10
Teddy Bridgewater (41% owned)
36/49 310 2TD plus 1TD rushing
Season high 49 attempts
103.3 QBR
KC matchup was no joke -20.2% to QBs in past 5 weeks
Return of CMC is going to help Carolina and Bridgewater big-time
Should CMC miss more time, Mike Davis is very capable
TB -11.7%, DET -0.9%, @MIN 27.0%
FAAB $3-$4
Derek Carr (42% owned)
20+ pts in 4/7 games
Bad weather in week 8 caused him to have a bad week in a good matchup
Look for a rebound next week vs a banged up Chargers defense
@LAC 12.1%, DEN 4.8% , KC -12.8%
FAAB $2-$3
Daniel Jones (30% owned)
9th highest graded QB of week 9 despite low fantasy point total
NYG line 11th most efficient pass blocking unit in week 9 with 88.5 efficiency score (PFF)
Only 7 QB hurries on the week
On the season they are 31st overall so this is significant improvement vs a very good Washington front 7
Heading into bye week in week 11
Jones put up 23 fantasy points vs PHI two weeks ago and they are on deck
PHI -17.6%, Bye, @CIN -10.4%
FAAB $1-$2
Nick Foles (10% owned)
4th highest graded QB of week 9
MIN is giving up + 40% above league average to opposing WR in past 3 weeks
20 & 24 fantasy points in past 2 games
MIN 25.2%, Bye, @GB -19.2%
FAAB $1-$2
Drops
Ryan Tannehill
Down week for Tannehill as he played a very tough Chicago defense
Season low 21 attempts
The Titans jumped out to a 17-0 lead by the end of the first half, limiting Tannehill to just eight pass attempts across the third and fourth quarters combined.
He also lacked his usual efficiency, completing under 50 percent of his pass attempts for the first time this season.
Tough schedule upcoming is main reason for this drop
IND -0.8%, @BAL -10.7%, @IND -0.8%
Running Back
J.D. McKissic ($5-$10 or $10-$15 in PPR)
Wayne Gallman ($5-$7)
Duke Johnson ($5-$7)
Jordan Wilkins($4-$5)
Gus Edwards ($4-$5)
Kalen Ballage ($4-$5)
Ryan Nall ($1-$2)
Salvon Ahmed ($1)
1) J.D. McKissic (24% owned)
Heavy usage in the receiving game with 14 targets! (43% target share)
3 carries gave him 17 total touches in this one
Snap share = McKissic 83% / Gibson 46% / Barber 2%
Snap share and move to Alex Smith and his dump-off ways bode well for J.D.
Amazing matchup on deck vs DET
@DET 78.2%, CIN 0.1%, @DAL 2.4%
FAAB $5-$10 or $10-$15 in PRR
2) Wayne Gallman (25% owned)
Third straight game with 10+ fantasy points
Giants offensive line has been getting it done in recent weeks
Bye upcoming in week 11
Freeman could be back after the bye
PHI -17.6%, Bye, @CIN -10.4%
FAAB $5-$10
3) Duke Johnson (15% owned)
16 carries, but only 41 yards (2.56 per)
4 receptions on 4 targets (20 total touches)
If David Johnson (concussion) were to miss time, Duke will be a low end RB2 play with close to 20 touches. This seems likely for week 10.
Browns have allowed a pair of 100-yard rushers over their last three games
Two great matchups upcoming if he can remain involved
@CLE 8.7%, NE 38.9%, @DET 78.2%
FAAB $5-$7
4) Jordan Wilkins (26% owned)
Lead team in carries for second straight week. (11 to 6 for JT and 2 Hines)
Snap share = JT 31% / Hines 34% / Wilkins 34%
0.22 rushing yards over expected per attempt (24th per Next Gen Stats)
Headache backfield is taking form, but Wilkins still led the way and Taylor had a costly fumble
Wilkins has a chance to distance himself from JT with a terrific remaining schedule.
@TEN 7.0%, GB 62.4%, TEN 7.0%
FAAB $4-$5
5) Gus Edwards (37% owned)
Averaged only 2 per carry on 11 totes (23 yards)
2/2 rec for 11 yards
1 rush TD saved his day
Ingram could miss another week with a sprained ankle
Great matchup vs NE will put Edwards on the fantasy radar as a low end RB2 or Flex option
@NE 34.6%, TEN 7.0%, @PIT -2.9%
FAAB $4-$5
6) Kalen Ballage (1% owned)
Surprise performance this week with Pope missing the game due to concussion and Jackson leaving in the first quarter with a knee injury
15/69 1TD (4.6 per)
2/3 receptions for 15 yards
Showed some legit downhill power against the Raiders, out-touching Joshua Kelley, 17 to 14.
Revenge game upcoming vs Dolphins
If Jackson is out I expect a similar workload (15 touches) in a revenge game vs the Dolphins
@MIA -10.7%, NYJ -2.4%, @BUF 23.6%
FAAB $4-$5
7) Ryan Nall (0% owned)
4/4 35 1TD receiving
David Montgomery left them game with a head injury
Desperation flex play
MIN -22.8%, Bye, @GB 62.4%
FAAB $1
8) Salvon Ahmed (0% owned)
Interesting rookie who averaged 5+ yards per carry this week
Dolphins backfield is one to avoid until Gaskin returns
Great matchup makes Ahmed a desperation flex play
LAC 28.1%, @DEN 5.8%, @NYJ -2.4%
FAAB $0 / Add to watch list
Drops
Le'Veon Bell (87% owned)
Bell is a handcuff and nothing more at this point
No more than 6 carries in first 3 games with KC
Look to deal Bell to the CEH owner for a reliable flex or bench depth piece
If no deal is there, do not hesitate to cut bait
JaMycal Hasty (52% owned)
This may be my final Hasty pun of the year, but once again I can say we were a bit hasty when we told you to add JaMycal
He is not involved enough to remain on rosters as McKinnon was used over him this week in what should have been his break out game
Mostert due back soon. Time has run out for Mr. Hasty
Adrian Peterson (53% owned)
Swift continues to take the lion's share of the work in this backfield
Kerryon Johnson is back from the dead
4, 2, 6 points in last 3 weeks
Wide Receiver
Allen Lazard ($10-$15)
Curtis Samuel ($8-$10)
Jakobi Meyers ($8-$10)
Darnell Mooney ($5-$7)
Tim Patrick ($3-$5)
Jalen Reagor ($3-$5)
Nelson Agholor ($3-$5)
KJ Hamler ($2-$3)
Richie James ($1-$2)
Michael Pittman ($1-$2)
1) Allen Lazard (38% owned)
Did not make it on the field this week, but he is primed for a big second half
In Week 3, Lazard started to show signs of breaking out, as he caught eight passes for 146 yards and registered his second TD catch in his first three games of 2020.
GB is a top 5 scoring offense
Practiced twice last week. Should be a go in week 10
JAC 17.8%, @IND 16.3%, CHI -34.1%
FAAB $10-$15
2) Curtis Samuel (20% owned)
He’s now scored 4 times over the last 3 weeks
9/9 105 TD
17th highest grade on week
CMC return did not hurt Samuel. CMC could be out again
Every week WR3 until further notice
TB -10.9%, DET -5.9% , @MIN 38.5%
FAAB $8-$10
3) Jakobi Meyers (1% owned)
8, 11, 23 pts in last 3 games
6, 10, 11 targets
Second straight week with 10+ targets and 10+ fantasy points
12/14 169 yards
Could be turning into a weekly WR2
Tough matchup on deck vs Baltimore
Baltimore is giving up 7th fewest receiving yards on the season and 4th fewest receiving.
Sit Myers in week 10
BAL -27.0%, @HOU 40.7%, ARI 19.8%
FAAB $8-$10
4) Darnell Mooney (6% owned)
4.38 40 yard dash at combine
Snap share = Robinson 95% / Mooney 87% / Miller 69%
Miller had 1 more catch, but Mooney has overtaken him in playing time and led the team with 11 targets
Plus matchup this week vs Vikings team giving up +60.9% to WR in past 3 weeks and +38.5% in past 5 weeks
Breakout game feels imminent. Fire him up this week!
MIN 38.5%, Bye, @GB -30.3%
FAAB $5-$7
5) Tim Patrick
4/9 29 1TD
10+ fantasy points in 4 of last 5 games since Sutton went out.
Week 7 sub 10 point performance he left with injury
Saved day this week with a TD
Easily could have had a 3TD day as Lock missed him once in the endzone and another end zone target went off his fingertips
Still the second best WR in DEN despite Hamler coming on strong
MIA -2.8%, NO 31.8%, @KC -10.9%
FAAB $3-$5
6) Jalen Reagor (24% owned)
Coming off his bye week and best game as a pro
3 receptions (six targets) for 16 yards and a TD in week 8
2020 first-round pick
Two plus matchups upcoming
Look for Philly to get Reagor more involved in the offense coming out of the bye week
@NYG 4.2%, @CLE 22.3%, SEA 52.3%
FAAB $3-$5
7) Nelson Agholor (24% owned)
4TD in past 5 games
scoring a long TD week after week. (45 yard TD catch this week)
Ranks among the NFL leaders in average targeted air yards (14.2) and he tops the league in yards per reception (20.4).
Low weekly target share makes him a boom or bust option with a lot of risk
3 targets this week (13% share)
DEN- 4.5%, KC -10.9%, @ATL 34.7%
FAAB $4-$5
8) KJ Hamler (2% owned)
6/10 75 1TD 23% target share
Caught game winning TD two weeks ago and another TD this week
Appears to be new favorite target for Drew Lock
Explosive athletic ability with sub-4.40 speed
2 green matchups in next 3 weeks
@LV 21.1%, MIA 5.7%, NO 38.9%
FAAB $3-$4
9) Richie James (2% owned)
9/11 184 1TD
16th highest grade on week (PFF)
NO is giving up +63.2% to opposing WR in past 3 games and +38.9% in past 5
Potential 1 week flex play
I prefer Kendrick Bourne over James if he returns from Covid list
@NO 38.9%, Bye, @LAR -47.2%
FAAB $1-$2
10) Michael Pittman Jr. (7% owned)
Pittman returned this week and saw 7 targets (4 rec for 56 yards)
IND receiving core is in desperate need of a playmaker
Marcus Johnson 88% / Pittman 87% / Pascal 60%
Plays TEN twice in next 3
TEN giving up +34.1% to WR in past 5 weeks and +40% in past 3 weeks
Speculative deep league add
@TEN 34.1%, GB -30.3%, TEN 34.1%
FAAB $1-$2
Drop List
T.Y. Hilton (49% owned)
Should have been dropped weeks ago
Simply not getting it done this year, possibly due to injury
Only one week over 8 points this season with most under 5
Michael Gallup (55% owned)
Dallas is flailing without Dak and due to injuries up front
Gallup has been brutal with 3, 0, 10, 5 in past 4 weeks
Heading into a bye week
Marquise "Hollywood" Brown (90% owned)
He's one of the league leaders in air yards, but that doesn't provide fantasy points
Under 8 points in 3 straight weeks
Under 8 targets in all weeks except week 5
Lamar Jackson has thrown for under 200 yards in 5 of past 6 weeks
@NE -14.2%, TEN 24.1%, @PIT 9.6%
Don't Let Go Yet
Corey Davis (62% owned)
Corey Davis had a down week against a very good Chicago secondary
Still the 10th highest graded WR on the season (PFF)
Prior to week 9 goose egg, he had over 10 points in 4/5 games he's played this year
Had more receptions and yards than A.J. Brown on the same number of targets in 2020
He’s had 10 targets and has scored in each of his last two contests
Tough schedule coming up makes it tough to start him, so if you must let go, so be it.
IND 1.2%, @BAL -19.2%, @IND -2.9%
FAAB $4-$5 (If dropped)
Tight End
Austin Hooper ($7-$10)
Jimmy Graham ($4-$5)
Irv Smith Jr. ($2-$3)
1) Austin Hooper (41% owned)
Missed past two games after undergoing an appendectomy
12, 8, 8 points in last 3 games played
HOU is giving up +89.9% to TE over the past 3 weeks and
Coming off the bye week and hopefully healthy, Hooper could lead the team in targets in his first game without OBJ
Right guard Wyatt Teller is back this week and should help to give Mayfield more time to throw
HOU 14.9%, PHI 30.1%, @JAC 46.5%
FAAB $5-$7 or $7-10 if you really need a TE
2) Jimmy Graham (49% owned)
6/6 55 1TD
5TD on the year
Good matchup upcoming vs MIN
MIN 29.1%, Bye, @GB -7.2%
FAAB $4-$5
3) Logan Thomas (37% owned)
TD dependent option
3 TD on the year and 10+ points in 2 of 3 past weeks
@DET -17.4%, CIN 91.1%, @DAL -7.6%
FAAB $4-$5
4) Irv Smith Jr. (7% owned)
2/4 10 2TD and 20% target share
Lack of targets and passing attempts for Cousins makes Smith risky
Need a TD to avoid a goose egg most weeks
Decent matchup this week vs Chicago at +20% to opposing TE
@CHI 20.0%, DAL -7.6%, CAR -4.1%
FAAB $3-$4
Too Highly Owned
Eric Ebron (65% owned)
Becoming more and more involved weekly
Tasty matchup next up vs CIN who is giving up +91.1% to TE over past 5 weeks followed by JAX
CIN 91.1%, @JAC 46.5%, BAL -16.1%
FAAB $7-$10
Drop List
Jordan Reed (3% owned)
1/2 3 yards
Risk to go down with injury any moment
Ross Dwelley may be the better TE in San Fran at this point
Very tough matchup on deck vs New Orleans then a bye week
@NO -29.4%, Bye, @LAR -13.2%
Defense
New Orleans vs SF ($2-$3)
PHI vs NYG ($2-$3)
GB vs JAX ($1-$2)
1) New Orleans vs SF
Smoked Tom Brady this past week and put up 17 fantasy points
Held TB to 3 points
SF is playing without Jimmy G, George Kittle, Raheem Mostert, Deebo Samuel, Tevin Coleman, and possibly Brandon Aiyuk
GB and SEA both put up 9 fantasy points against SF in past 2 weeks and SEA is horrible
Demario Davis is a savage
SF 0.0%, ATL -28.6%, @DEN 60.7%
FAAB $3-$4
2) Philadelphia
Put up 11 points 2 weeks ago first these same NYG
Following week they put up 22 vs Dallas
Should be well rested coming of the bye week
Three decent matchups upcoming
@NYG 21.4%, @CLE 29.5%, SEA 29.5%
FAAB $2-$3
3) Green Bay vs JAX
JAX is starting rookie QB Jake Luton
Luton performed better than expected this week, but is still a rookie
Green Bay is at home and projected for close to 10 fantasy points
IND and CHI are up next
JAC 7.1%, @IND 33.9%, CHI 25.0%
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